Wednesday brought a welcome relief rally for the Dow Jones, which surged more than 200 points as risk assets rallied around the globe.
Adding to the bullish mood, new data revealed that theUS-China trade balanceis on track to shrink to a six-year low.
Dow Jones Recovers as Investors Celebrate Easing Tensions
Heading toward the closing bell, theDow Jones Industrial Averagehad rallied 217.10 points or 0.83% to 26,335.12.
Crude oil– a tremendous indicator for the global growth outlook – surged 4% in risk-on trading conditions.
Trump Triumphant? US-China Trade Deficit Narrows
There is no question that the Dow has not enjoyed the recent escalation in the US trade war. Atremendous bout of volatilityensued as both the US and China increased tariffs, but there are signs that Trump’s tactics might be working.
Just look at today’s US trade balance data:
ING Chief International Economist James Knightley follows the US-China trade balance closely, and he said that he seesclear evidence of progressbecause the deficit is narrowing.
In the background, Knightley does see risks of additional trade wars lurking, as deficits with Europe and Mexico are rising.
“Creating a 2019 trade deficit estimate based on the Jan-July run rate, the deficit with China is on track to be the smallest since 2013. This may be enough for the President to claim that his tactics are working, but it is also likely to raise concerns within the EU and Mexico that they could once again face closer scrutiny given the annual US trade deficit with these economies is on course to widen out to new all-time highs in 2019.”
Couple this narrowing trade balance with China against the backdrop offirming Chinese PMI data, and the outlook for the Dow brightens. It’s good news for stocks that the world’s second-largest economy looks to be stabilizing from the trade war shock.
Dow Jones 30: Intel & Apple Soar Amid Tech Rally
Apple also enjoyed easing tensions, rising 1.63% as it launched plans tore-enter the bond market.
Pfizer reversed its pole position to last in the Dow 30, losing 0.94% as investors dumped the defensive stock after its gains in risk-off on Tuesday.
Clickherefor a real-time Dow Jones Industrial Average chart.